The youth vote has always been a moving target for those seeking office and those who research the reasons and patterns of young voters in America. I am personally persuaded that this vote is not one that you can or should be counted upon to build a political base. It is such a fragile, shifting demographic that it is hard to tell what this segment of the populace will actually do from one year to the next.
We all know by now that President Obama did better with the 18-29 age group than any candidate since the vote was lowered to age 18. His poll numbers among this group were very, very good. A lot of analysis has gone into trying to figure out why. What we do know is that this age group voted by an overwhelming 2-1 ratio for Obama. Obama brought together, in 2008, high numbers of first-time voters, large numbers of young minorities and an exploding youth base. Some saw this is the beginning of a new Democratic movement politically.
Recent Pew Research Center data suggests that these voters are cooling towards Democrats in general and even President Obama. Paul Taylor, of Pew Research, recently said, “This is a generation of young adults who made a big splash politically in 2008